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The Martingale

Part 2: Bad Experience

I have received the following question via e-mail in various forms over the last couple years and thought I would address it in this week's column.

QUESTION: IS IT POSSIBLEFOR SOMEONE TO MASTER THE GAME, AND THEN GO TO THE CASINOS AND MAKE A WEEKLY LIVING??? I don't want to count cards, I want to use a system I learned on the Internet where you double your bets until you win.

Most players in the casino are looking for a system to help them get the edge. Many of them stumble upon or hear about a surefire system that involves doubling their bets after each loss. They figure that sooner or later they have to win. This system that is called the Martingale system. It has been the ruin of many players. Here is how it works. For this example we will assume you are playing on a five-dollar table.

First of all most casinos have a maximum bet. Many five-dollar tables have a maximum bet of $500. If you bet using the martingale where you double after every loss the progression would look like this:

You bet five dollars and you lose.
Your next bet is $10. If you lose:
Your next bet is $20. If you lose:
Your next bet is $40. If you lose:
Your next bet is $80. If you lose:
Your next bet is $160. If you lose:
Your next bet is $320. If you lose:
Your next bet is $640, which exceeds the maximum bet for the table.

It would only take eight losses to exceed the table maximum bet. It doesn't matter how many times you double up your bet. You will only win five dollars if you eventually hit This takes into account all your progressions up to that point. Even if you could exceed the $500 maximum bet, on the eighth bet you are risking $640 to win $5. You have already invested $635 on your previous seven bets. If you lose that one you are out $1.275. Can you imagine risking over a thousand dollars for a chance to win five dollars? The casinos know that if someone had unlimited resources they would eventually win. That is why the set maximum bets at the table.

Some people who try the Martingale system have success with it. They might go many sessions winning constantly and swear that it is fool proof. Sooner or later reality will kick in and they will discover the flaw in the system. I know because years ago when I was naive about the casino world, I was one of those persons who tried the Martingale.

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